Sports predictions
Lucas Cepeda

Lucas CepedaLW#21

Elche CF·Attack - Left Winger

23 years(31/10/2002)1,77mleftChileContract until 30/06/2030

6.86Rating32 matches in 12 months
€2.50mMarket value#10 in Elche CF

Last 5rating per match

Liga de Prim01.117.3
Liga de Prim08.116.4
Internationa15.116.5
Internationa18.116.8
Liga de Prim23.118.2

Form, 12 monthsaverage rating per month

7.00Nov
7.80Dec
6.40Jan
6.90Feb
6.60Mar
7.70Apr
6.40May
7.20Jun
Jul
6.60Aug
6.60Sep
6.90Oct

Key statsLaLiga

Goals0
xG0.660.16 / 90
Assists20.47 / 90
xA1.040.25 / 90
Shots143.29 / 90
Shots on target857%
Key passes92.11 / 90
Pass accuracy88.6%

xG — expected goals: the quality of the chances taken; xA — expected assists: the quality of the chances created. Values per 90 minutes are shown under the totals. What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

Player profileattributes and traits

ATTACKING63TECHNIQUE57TACTICAL43DEFENDING33CREATIVITY58

Player Position average

Attacking63
Technique57
Tactical43
Defending33
Creativity58

Strengths

  • Passing
  • Discipline

Weaknesses

No outstanding weaknesses

Player positions: LW · RW

Positions on the pitch

LWRWAttack →

Reality checkactual vs expected, by season

Goals vs xG

-0.8

Goals xG · total 1 / 1.8

Assists vs xA

+0.7

Assists xA · total 2 / 1.3

Bars above xG mean the player scores more than the quality of his chances suggests; a long run below xG is usually a finishing problem, a short one — variance.

Availability

StatusAvailable32 matches in 12 months
National teamChile logoChile16 caps · 4 goals
Contract until30/06/2030
Market value€2.50mHighest: €3.50m (30/06/2025)

Season statsSeason 26/27

CompetitionTeamSeasonAppsMinRatingGAG+AYCRC
LaLiga logoLaLigaElche logoElche26/27103836.83—222—
Transfers3
DateSeasonFromToFeeMarket value
26/01/202625/26Colo-ColoElche CF€1.85m€3.20m
09/02/202423/24WanderersColo-Colo€1.46m€375k
01/01/202221/22Wanderers U21Wanderers-€50k

Market value

€2.50m Current€3.50m Highest · 30/06/202505/06/2026 Last change
€3.50m
22.10.202105.06.2026
#16 Chile#10 Elche CF#320 LaLiga#380 Left Winger#4.105 Worldwide#395 Year 2002
Value history
DateAgeClubValue
22/10/202118Unknown€50k
16/06/202219Santiago Wanderers€75k
15/11/202220Santiago Wanderers€300k
15/07/202320Santiago Wanderers€300k
29/12/202321Santiago Wanderers€375k
13/06/202421CSD Colo-Colo€400k
19/09/202421CSD Colo-Colo€800k
12/11/202422CSD Colo-Colo€1.30m
16/04/202522CSD Colo-Colo€2.50m
30/06/202522CSD Colo-Colo€3.50m
10/12/202523CSD Colo-Colo€3.20m
16/03/202623Elche CF€3.50m
05/06/202623Elche CF€2.50m
xG Statisticsall seasons
SeasonLeagueClubAppsMinGxGnpxGAxAShKPxGChain
2026La ligaElche1037700.660.6621.041492.98
2025La ligaElche1039011.111.1100.271361.89

What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

xG Expected goals
How many goals an average finisher would score from the same shots. A 0.30 xG shot goes in about 3 times in 10. Goals above xG mean efficient finishing; below — a cold streak or poor finishing.
npxG Non-penalty xG
The same xG without penalties. A penalty alone is worth about 0.76 xG, so npxG is a cleaner view of open-play and set-piece chances.
xA Expected assists
The xG of the shots that followed the player's passes. High xA with few assists means teammates missed good chances.
xGChain xG chain
Team xG from every possession the player touched. It shows involvement in build-up, not only the shot or the final pass, so a deep midfielder can rank high without scoring.
KP Key passes
Passes that led directly to a shot — the volume behind xA.