Sports predictions
Lucas Höler

Lucas HölerST#9

Freiburg·Attack - Centre-Forward

32 years(10/07/1994)1,84mrightGermanyContract until -

6.68Rating48 matches in 12 months
€3.00mMarket value#20 in Freiburg

Last 5rating per match

Bundesliga01.116.6
UEFA Europa 06.116.9
Bundesliga22.116.4
Bundesliga30.118.3
DFB Pokal03.127.5

Form, 12 monthsaverage rating per month

7.00Nov
6.90Dec
6.60Jan
6.50Feb
6.50Mar
6.90Apr
6.40May
Jun
Jul
6.80Aug
6.40Sep
6.50Oct

Key statsBundesliga · UEFA Conference League · DFB Pokal

Goals10.27 / 90
xG1.090.73 / 90
Assists0
xA0.060.04 / 90
Shots123.20 / 90
Shots on target325%
Key passes30.80 / 90
Pass accuracy72.0%

xG — expected goals: the quality of the chances taken; xA — expected assists: the quality of the chances created. Values per 90 minutes are shown under the totals. What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

Player profileattributes and traits

ATTACKING64TECHNIQUE50TACTICAL54DEFENDING32CREATIVITY54

Player Position average

Attacking64
Technique50
Tactical54
Defending32
Creativity54

Strengths

No outstanding strengths

Weaknesses

  • Finishing

Player positions: ST · AM

Positions on the pitch

STAMAttack →

Reality checkactual vs expected, by season

Goals vs xG

-3.3

Goals xG · total 3 / 6.3

Assists vs xA

-1.1

Assists xA · total 1 / 2.1

Bars above xG mean the player scores more than the quality of his chances suggests; a long run below xG is usually a finishing problem, a short one — variance.

Availability

StatusAvailable48 matches in 12 months
Missed matches1last 12 months
Contract until-
Market value€3.00mHighest: €6.50m (22/12/2021)

Season statsSeason 26/27

CompetitionTeamSeasonAppsMinRatingGAG+AYCRC
Bundesliga logoBundesligaSC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg26/2761466.47——02—
UEFA Conference League logoUEFA Conference LeagueSC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg26/2721046.70——0——
DFB PokalSC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg26/271876.901—1——
Transfers7
DateSeasonFromToFeeMarket value
01/01/201817/18SV SandhausenFreiburg€2.00m€900k
01/07/201616/17FSV Mainz 05 IISV Sandhausenfree transfer€300k
01/07/201414/15VfB OldenburgFSV Mainz 05 IIfree transfer€75k
01/07/201313/14Blument. SV U19VfB Oldenburgfree transfer-
01/07/201111/12Osterh.-S. U17Blument. SV U19free transfer-
01/07/200909/10Osterh.-S. Yth.Osterh.-S. U17--
01/07/200808/09Schwanew. Yth.Osterh.-S. Yth.free transfer-

Market value

€3.00m Current€6.50m Highest · 22/12/202127/05/2026 Last change
€6.50m
30.07.201327.05.2026
#287 Bundesliga#500 Centre-Forward#20 Freiburg#163 Germany#3.484 Worldwide#77 Year 1994
Value history
DateAgeClubValue
30/07/201319VfB Oldenburg€50k
21/10/201319VfB Oldenburg€50k
20/02/201419VfB Oldenburg€75k
08/08/2014201.FSV Mainz 05 II€150k
07/03/2015201.FSV Mainz 05 II€150k
01/07/2015201.FSV Mainz 05 II€300k
29/10/2015211.FSV Mainz 05 II€300k
08/02/2016211.FSV Mainz 05 II€300k
22/07/201622SV Sandhausen€400k
23/01/201722SV Sandhausen€650k
27/06/201722SV Sandhausen€650k
17/10/201723SV Sandhausen€900k
22/01/201823SC Freiburg€1.50m
05/06/201823SC Freiburg€2.00m
18/12/201824SC Freiburg€3.00m
05/06/201924SC Freiburg€3.00m
17/12/201925SC Freiburg€4.00m
08/04/202025SC Freiburg€3.20m
08/07/202025SC Freiburg€4.00m
10/02/202126SC Freiburg€4.00m
09/06/202126SC Freiburg€4.00m
07/10/202127SC Freiburg€5.00m
22/12/202127SC Freiburg€6.50m
09/06/202227SC Freiburg€6.50m
09/11/202228SC Freiburg€5.00m
22/06/202328SC Freiburg€5.00m
14/12/202329SC Freiburg€5.00m
29/05/202429SC Freiburg€4.00m
20/12/202430SC Freiburg€3.50m
05/06/202530SC Freiburg€3.00m
19/12/202531SC Freiburg€3.00m
27/05/202631SC Freiburg€3.00m
xG Statisticsall seasons
SeasonLeagueClubAppsMinGxGnpxGAxAShKPxGChain
2026BundesligaFreiburg613501.091.0900.06521.63
2025BundesligaFreiburg33207035.255.2512.0833248.26

What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

xG Expected goals
How many goals an average finisher would score from the same shots. A 0.30 xG shot goes in about 3 times in 10. Goals above xG mean efficient finishing; below — a cold streak or poor finishing.
npxG Non-penalty xG
The same xG without penalties. A penalty alone is worth about 0.76 xG, so npxG is a cleaner view of open-play and set-piece chances.
xA Expected assists
The xG of the shots that followed the player's passes. High xA with few assists means teammates missed good chances.
xGChain xG chain
Team xG from every possession the player touched. It shows involvement in build-up, not only the shot or the final pass, so a deep midfielder can rank high without scoring.
KP Key passes
Passes that led directly to a shot — the volume behind xA.