Sports predictions
Nathan Collins

Nathan CollinsCB#22

Brentford·Defender - Centre-Back

25 years(30/04/2001)1,93mrightIrelandContract until 30/06/2029

7.03Rating41 matches in 12 months
€30.00mMarket value#8 in Brentford

Last 5rating per match

Premier Leag01.115.8
Premier Leag09.116.8
World Cup Qu13.118.1
World Cup Qu16.117.2
Premier Leag22.116.3

Form, 12 monthsaverage rating per month

6.80Nov
6.90Dec
7.40Jan
6.70Feb
7.10Mar
6.40Apr
7.20May
7.10Jun
Jul
7.90Aug
6.70Sep
6.40Oct

Key statsEFL Cup · Premier League

Goals20.50 / 90
xG0.610.28 / 90
Assists0
xA0.070.03 / 90
Shots102.51 / 90
Shots on target550%
Key passes41.01 / 90
Pass accuracy82.1%

xG — expected goals: the quality of the chances taken; xA — expected assists: the quality of the chances created. Values per 90 minutes are shown under the totals. What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

Player profileattributes and traits

ATTACKING41TECHNIQUE45TACTICAL70DEFENDING79CREATIVITY45

Player Position average

Attacking41
Technique45
Tactical70
Defending79
Creativity45

Strengths

  • Long balls
  • Ground duels

Weaknesses

No outstanding weaknesses

Player positions: DC

Positions on the pitch

CBAttack →

Reality checkactual vs expected, by season

Goals vs xG

-2.5

Goals xG · total 1 / 3.5

Assists vs xA

-0.5

Assists xA · total 2 / 2.5

Bars above xG mean the player scores more than the quality of his chances suggests; a long run below xG is usually a finishing problem, a short one — variance.

Availability

StatusInjuredsince 05.09.2026
Missed matches7last 12 months
National teamRepublic of Ireland logoRepublic of Ireland40 caps · 3 goals
Contract until30/06/2029
Market value€30.00mHighest: €35.00m (17/10/2025)

Season statsSeason 26/27

CompetitionTeamSeasonAppsMinRatingGAG+AYCRC
EFL CupBrentford logoBrentford26/2721618.002—2——
Premier League logoPremier LeagueBrentford logoBrentford26/2731976.67——01—
Transfers6
DateSeasonFromToFeeMarket value
04/07/202323/24WolvesBrentford€26.85m€22.00m
12/07/202222/23BurnleyWolves€24.30m€10.00m
01/07/202121/22Stoke CityBurnley€14.00m€8.00m
01/07/201919/20Stoke City U23Stoke City--
01/07/201818/19Stoke U18Stoke City U23--
01/07/201616/17Cherry Orchard FCStoke U18?-

Market value

€30.00m Current€35.00m Highest · 17/10/202503/06/2026 Last change
€35.00m
16.10.201903.06.2026
#8 Brentford#52 Centre-Back#1 Ireland#133 Premier League#293 Worldwide#43 Year 2001
Value history
DateAgeClubValue
16/10/201918Stoke City€500k
27/02/202018Stoke City€900k
08/04/202018Stoke City€800k
15/10/202019Stoke City€800k
22/12/202019Stoke City€2.00m
10/03/202119Stoke City€2.00m
30/06/202120Stoke City€8.00m
23/12/202120Burnley FC€8.00m
15/06/202221Burnley FC€10.00m
15/09/202221Wolverhampton Wanderers€22.00m
03/11/202221Wolverhampton Wanderers€22.00m
20/06/202322Wolverhampton Wanderers€22.00m
19/12/202322Brentford FC€25.00m
27/05/202423Brentford FC€25.00m
16/12/202423Brentford FC€28.00m
30/05/202524Brentford FC€28.00m
17/10/202524Brentford FC€35.00m
09/12/202524Brentford FC€35.00m
09/03/202624Brentford FC€30.00m
03/06/202625Brentford FC€30.00m
xG Statisticsall seasons
SeasonLeagueClubAppsMinGxGnpxGAxAShKPxGChain
2026EPLBrentford319600.610.6100.07530.87
2025EPLBrentford35296612.922.9222.4320910.04

What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

xG Expected goals
How many goals an average finisher would score from the same shots. A 0.30 xG shot goes in about 3 times in 10. Goals above xG mean efficient finishing; below — a cold streak or poor finishing.
npxG Non-penalty xG
The same xG without penalties. A penalty alone is worth about 0.76 xG, so npxG is a cleaner view of open-play and set-piece chances.
xA Expected assists
The xG of the shots that followed the player's passes. High xA with few assists means teammates missed good chances.
xGChain xG chain
Team xG from every possession the player touched. It shows involvement in build-up, not only the shot or the final pass, so a deep midfielder can rank high without scoring.
KP Key passes
Passes that led directly to a shot — the volume behind xA.