Sports predictions
Sergey Varatynov

Sergey VaratynovCB#2

Baltika·Defender - Centre-Back

23 years(27/06/2003)1,87mrightRussiaContract until 30/06/2027

6.75Rating33 matches in 12 months
€1.80mMarket value#3 in Baltika

Last 5rating per match

Russian Prem02.116.9
Russian Prem09.116.1
Russian Prem22.116.8
Russian Prem29.117.3
Russian Prem07.126.9

Form, 12 monthsaverage rating per month

6.80Nov
6.90Dec
Jan
6.70Feb
6.60Mar
6.80Apr
6.40May
Jun
6.30Jul
6.80Aug
6.70Sep
7.00Oct

Key statsRussian Premier League · Russian Cup

Goals10.07 / 90
xG0.250.02 / 90
Assists10.07 / 90
xA0.340.03 / 90
Shots50.36 / 90
Shots on target360%
Key passes10.07 / 90
Pass accuracy71.4%

xG — expected goals: the quality of the chances taken; xA — expected assists: the quality of the chances created. Values per 90 minutes are shown under the totals. What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

Player profileattributes and traits

ATTACKING36TECHNIQUE39TACTICAL60DEFENDING69CREATIVITY40

Player Position average

Attacking36
Technique39
Tactical60
Defending69
Creativity40

Strengths

No outstanding strengths

Weaknesses

  • Finishing

Player positions: DC · DR

Positions on the pitch

CBRBAttack →

Reality checkactual vs expected, by season

Goals vs xG

-0.1

Goals xG · total 2 / 2.1

Assists vs xA

+0.5

Assists xA · total 1 / 0.5

Bars above xG mean the player scores more than the quality of his chances suggests; a long run below xG is usually a finishing problem, a short one — variance.

Availability

StatusAvailable33 matches in 12 months
National teamRussia U176 caps · 0 goals
Contract until30/06/2027
Market value€1.80mHighest: €1.80m (16/12/2025)

Season statsSeason 26/27

CompetitionTeamSeasonAppsMinRatingGAG+AYCRC
Russian Premier League logoRussian Premier LeagueBaltika Kaliningrad logoBaltika Kaliningrad26/27129956.831122—
Russian CupBaltika Kaliningrad logoBaltika Kaliningrad26/2742496.68——0——
Transfers4
DateSeasonFromToFeeMarket value
12/09/202424/25KhimkiBaltika€250k€800k
18/07/202323/24Strogino MoscowKhimkifree transfer€200k
22/02/202221/22Loko Moscow IIStrogino Moscowfree transfer€25k
01/07/202121/22Ak. Loko U17Loko Moscow II-€50k

Market value

€1.80m Current€1.80m Highest · 16/12/202526/05/2026 Last change
€1.80m
02.06.202126.05.2026
#3 Baltika#987 Centre-Back#135 Premier Liga#74 Russia#5.523 Worldwide#475 Year 2003
Value history
DateAgeClubValue
02/06/202117Unknown€50k
24/12/202118Lokomotiv Moscow II€25k
02/06/202218Strogino Moscow€25k
02/12/202219Strogino Moscow€125k
26/06/202319Strogino Moscow€200k
20/09/202320FC Khimki€300k
30/11/202320FC Khimki€500k
14/06/202420FC Khimki€800k
18/09/202421Baltika Kaliningrad€700k
04/12/202421Baltika Kaliningrad€800k
02/06/202521Baltika Kaliningrad€1.00m
18/09/202522Baltika Kaliningrad€1.50m
16/12/202522Baltika Kaliningrad€1.80m
26/05/202622Baltika Kaliningrad€1.80m
xG Statisticsall seasons
SeasonLeagueClubAppsMinGxGnpxGAxAShKPxGChain
2026RFPLBaltika1299410.250.2510.34511.79
2025RFPLBaltika30270011.891.8900.132346.18

What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

xG Expected goals
How many goals an average finisher would score from the same shots. A 0.30 xG shot goes in about 3 times in 10. Goals above xG mean efficient finishing; below — a cold streak or poor finishing.
npxG Non-penalty xG
The same xG without penalties. A penalty alone is worth about 0.76 xG, so npxG is a cleaner view of open-play and set-piece chances.
xA Expected assists
The xG of the shots that followed the player's passes. High xA with few assists means teammates missed good chances.
xGChain xG chain
Team xG from every possession the player touched. It shows involvement in build-up, not only the shot or the final pass, so a deep midfielder can rank high without scoring.
KP Key passes
Passes that led directly to a shot — the volume behind xA.