Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain on 30 October 2026 at 21:00 in Ligue 1's ninth round. PSG arrive as heavy favourites, sitting first with 17 points after five wins from eight matches. Le Havre are bottom with two points, having won zero matches and lost six of their opening eight games.

PSG have won eight consecutive matches across all competitions and scored at least two goals in their last six outings. Luis Enrique's squad depth allows tactical flexibility mid-game; reserves decided last week's 2-0 win over Lyon. Injuries to Nuno Mendes, Ousmane Dembélé, Marquinhos, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia remain, but the squad still has quality to rotate.

Le Havre's defensive fragility defines their season. Under Didier Drogba, they concede in every league match. Key absences compound the problem: goalkeeper Mpasi, centre-back Zagadou, and winger Mambimbi are all long-term injuries. Josh Maja carries the attacking load. Last week Le Havre lost 4-3 at Marseille despite a furious late comeback, with Maja scoring twice and Lamin Ndiaye adding one, but the deficit proved too large.

Form and H2H

PSG's away record in their last ten matches reads eight wins, one draw, one loss, averaging 2.80 goals for and 1.20 against. Le Havre at home show two wins, two draws, six losses, averaging 1.51 goals for and 1.61 against.

Head-to-head favours PSG decisively. The teams have met six times since December 2023, with PSG winning four consecutive matches. Results: Le Havre 0-2 PSG (December 2023), PSG 3-3 Le Havre (April 2024), Le Havre 1-4 PSG (August 2024), PSG 2-1 Le Havre (April 2025), PSG 3-0 Le Havre (November 2025), Le Havre 0-1 PSG (February 2026).

Best bet

PSG win with handicap -2.5 is the main recommendation. PSG's attacking depth and Le Havre's defensive vulnerabilities create a wide margin scenario. PSG scored six goals across their last two meetings with Le Havre. The away side's form, combined with Le Havre's inability to keep clean sheets, supports a comfortable PSG victory by three or more goals.

Over 3.5 goals is a secondary option. PSG's last five matches produced 22 goals combined. Le Havre scored in four of their last five matches and mounted a comeback from 4-0 down in Marseille, showing attacking intent despite defensive fragility. A high-scoring match aligns with recent trends from both sides.

Odds to watch

1Win: Home 8.6 / Draw 5.8 / Away 1.33.

1xBet: Home 10.6 / Draw 6.81 / Away 1.29.

22Bet: Home 8.5 / Draw 6.09 / Away 1.36.

Melbet: Home 9 / Draw 6.1 / Away 1.28.