Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Leon hosts Guadalajara Chivas on 9 November 2026 at 05:10 in Liga MX round 16. Leon sit ninth with 22 points from 15 matches after losing 1–2 to Cruz Azul in their last outing. Guadalajara occupy third place on 29 points and remain unbeaten across their last five league games, winning three and drawing twice. The visitors have won only twice in the league so far and arrive with momentum from consecutive victories over Necaxa (1–0), Monterrey (1–0), and Atlante (4–2).

Leon average 1.50 goals for and 1.40 against at home over their last ten matches. Guadalajara average 1.80 goals for and 0.80 against away from home over the same span. Leon have conceded 20 goals in 15 league games, a vulnerability Guadalajara's attack will target. The visitors have scored in each of their last five league outings and have not lost away in seven league matches this season.

Form and H2H

Leon won only one of their last five league matches before this round. They beat Tigres 2–0 and drew 1–1 with Toluca but fell to Cruz Azul. Their home record shows four wins, three draws, and three losses across the last ten outings. Guadalajara have built a six-win, three-draw, one-loss record away from home over ten matches, conceding just 0.80 goals per game on the road.

Head-to-head results favour neither side decisively. Leon won 2–0 at home in April 2018 and 4–3 away in August 2019. Guadalajara won 2–0 at home in November 2017 and March 2020, and 1–0 away in November 2018. Guadalajara also won 2–1 at home in April 2019. Guadalajara have returned key players from injury: Luis Romo, Bryan Gutiérrez, José Castillo, and Ángel Sepúlveda are available, with Romo and Gutiérrez already featuring in the 4–2 win over Atlante.

Best bet

Back Guadalajara to win. The visitors hold a clear edge in league position, recent form, and defensive stability. Leon have conceded 20 goals in 15 matches and frequently leave gaps at the back, particularly when pressed. Guadalajara's unbeaten five-match run, combined with their seven-game unbeaten away record, positions them as the stronger proposition despite playing on the road. Leon's attacking threat is real—they scored seven times in their last five matches—but Guadalajara's superior defensive record (14 goals conceded in 15 games versus Leon's 20) and consistent results make them the pick.

Odds to watch

1xBet: Home 3.26 / Draw 3.54 / Away 2.04.