Aston Villa vs Fulham Prediction

Aston Villa host Fulham on 31 October 2026 at 23:00 in the Premier League's ninth round. Villa Park will stage a clash between a home side in strong form and visitors struggling for consistency. Aston Villa won seven of their last ten matches across all competitions, including a 2-1 Premier League victory over Manchester City. Fulham have won just three of their last ten league games and sit 15th after escaping the relegation zone with consecutive 1-0 wins.

Villa's attacking threat is real but inconsistent. They scored 2.40 goals per game at home over their last ten league matches, yet also conceded 1.30 per game. Recent European form shows volatility: a 6-0 demolition of Fenerbahçe followed by a 3-1 win over Viking, but a midweek 0-3 loss to Bournemouth away despite creating xG for three goals. Fulham's away record is tighter. They averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game in their last ten league matches, with nine of those ten finishing under 3.5 goals total.

Form and H2H

Head-to-head meetings between these sides favour neither decisively. Since 2012, the record reads three wins for Fulham, two for Villa, and one draw across six meetings. Fulham won 3-1 at Villa Park in April 2017 and 2-0 at home in December 2013, but Villa took a 1-0 victory in October 2016.

Villa's last ten league performances show they scored at least one goal in nine matches and conceded fewer than two in seven. Fulham's away form is defined by low-scoring contests: they faced fewer than 1.00 shots on target against them in nine of their last ten away league games. In six of Fulham's last ten matches across all competitions, at least one team failed to score.

Best Bet

Under 3.5 goals is the pick. Villa average 2.40 goals per game at home but Fulham's away record shows disciplined defending and limited attacking output. Fulham averaged 1.20 goals scored away and allowed 1.00 per game. Nine of Fulham's last ten away league matches finished under 3.5 goals. Villa's xG creation is close to what Fulham typically concedes, and while Villa's home profit trend on Over 2.5 shows historical backing, their recent away loss to Bournemouth and Fulham's two consecutive 1-0 wins suggest a tighter contest than Villa's home scoring average alone indicates.

Odds to watch

1Win: Home 1.93 / Draw 3.73 / Away 3.77.

1xBet: Home 2.03 / Draw 3.88 / Away 3.76.

Mostbet: Home 1.93 / Draw 3.69 / Away 3.64.

Melbet: Home 1.96 / Draw 3.74 / Away 3.62.