FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig Prediction

RB Leipzig travel to Schalke on 31 October 2026 at 17:30 as clear favourites. Leipzig's attacking output separates them decisively from a Schalke side that has won just one of its last ten Bundesliga matches. Over ten recent Bundesliga games, Leipzig averaged 2.20 goals scored per game and 2.00 goals conceded per game. Schalke, by contrast, managed 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per game across the same span. That gulf in offensive threat makes Leipzig the pick to win.

Schalke's recent form compounds their vulnerability. A 0-2 defeat at Dresden on 28 October followed a goalless draw with Cologne four days earlier. Leipzig, meanwhile, dismantled Elversberg 4-0 in the Bundesliga on 24 October, demonstrating the clinical finishing Schalke cannot match. Nkunku's absence from Leipzig's squad removes one attacking outlet, but the visitors retain sufficient firepower to exploit Schalke's defensive frailty.

Form and H2H

Head-to-head records favour Leipzig heavily in recent years. The teams have met six times since 2017, with Leipzig winning three, drawing once, and losing twice. Most tellingly, Leipzig won 5-0 at Schalke in February 2020, a scoreline that reflects the quality gap between these clubs when Leipzig performs to standard.

Schalke's home record in the last ten games shows three wins, three draws, and four losses. Leipzig's away form is sharper: five wins and five losses from ten matches, but crucially they scored 2.20 goals per game on the road. In seven Bundesliga appearances this season, Schalke have scored only four goals total. Leipzig scored in nine of their last ten matches across all competitions, a consistency Schalke simply do not possess.

Best bet

Leipzig to win is the central play. The visitors' attacking average of 2.20 goals per game away from home towers over Schalke's 1.00 goals per game at the Veltins-Arena. Schalke have not won a Bundesliga match in nine of their last ten attempts. Leipzig's defensive record—2.00 goals conceded per game—suggests they can absorb Schalke's limited threat and convert their chances into three points.

A draw remains possible given Schalke's tendency to sit deep and Leipzig's occasional defensive lapses, but the attacking disparity makes Leipzig the rational choice. Schalke's inability to score consistently this season, combined with Leipzig's proven goal-scoring record, tilts the match decisively toward the visitors.

Odds to watch

1Win: Home 3.96 / Draw 4.04 / Away 1.82.

1xBet: Home 3.94 / Draw 4.36 / Away 1.88.

Mostbet: Home 4.2 / Draw 3.73 / Away 1.79.

Melbet: Home 3.8 / Draw 4.2 / Away 1.81.