Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction

Getafe hosts Sevilla on 1 November 2026 at 16:00 in La Liga's 11th round at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. Sevilla arrive as favourites after back-to-back clean sheets: a 3-0 cup win over Ortaleza on 29 October and a 2-0 league victory against Osasuna four days earlier. Getafe broke a two-match losing streak with a 3-2 cup win over Lebrijana the same day, but that came after a 4-0 league hammering by Athletic Bilbao and a 5-2 European defeat to Lugano.

The pick is Sevilla over 0.5 goals. Sevilla have scored in every one of their last ten La Liga matches, averaging 1.50 goals per game on the road. Getafe's defence is porous: they conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions and have shipped 1.91 goals per game at home over their last ten La Liga outings. Getafe held opponents to one goal or fewer in 8 of their last 10 home league games, but Sevilla's consistency in front of goal and Getafe's leaky backline make a Sevilla goal the most probable outcome.

Rotation risk clouds the picture. Sevilla manager Luis García Plaza flagged fewer than 72 hours between the cup tie and this fixture, with four matches in twelve days forcing squad changes. Sevilla's expected goals average over their last ten La Liga matches sits at a moderate level, so the goal is not certain. Still, Getafe's defensive fragility and Sevilla's prolific run make the bet the logical choice.

Form and H2H

Sevilla have not lost in 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. Getafe have won just 2 of their last 10 league games and failed to win in 8 of their last 10 across all tournaments. In their six most recent head-to-head meetings, Sevilla have lost only once, a 1-0 defeat at home in May 2014. Sevilla won 3-0 at Getafe in December 2011 and January 2014, though Getafe's 5-1 home victory in April 2012 remains their standout result in the fixture.

Best bet

Sevilla over 0.5 goals is the play. Sevilla score in every match in La Liga, Getafe concede regularly at home, and the head-to-head record favours the visitors. Rotation could limit Sevilla's attacking output, but Getafe's defensive record makes a Sevilla goal the most likely outcome. The bet offers value given the underlying form.

Odds to watch

1xBet: Home 3.28 / Draw 3.13 / Away 2.56.